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ChatGPT has also stopped rising.

Jun 26,2023

Are you still using ChatGPT?

ChatGPT, which has set off an AI boom globally, seems to have entered a bottleneck period.

First, there is unfavorable data regarding ChatGPT's usage. In early June, a survey released by Morgan Stanley showed that only 19% of respondents said they had used ChatGPT before, and only 4% said they relied on ChatGPT. The survey indicated that the proportion was surprisingly low.

This survey was conducted in April of this year and involved 2,000 people. However, in the face of a global population of 7.8 billion, this sample size is not large, and to some extent reduces its reference value.

Another data set with a larger base is worth noting: ChatGPT's growth has clearly slowed.

According to SimilarWeb, a website data analysis tool, ChatGPT's early visit growth rate was astonishing. The month-on-month growth rate in January was 131.6%, 62.5% in February, 55.8% in March, significantly slowing to 12.6% in April, and dropping to 2.8% in May.

As ChatGPT becomes more widespread and the base of reference increases, a slowdown in growth is normal. However, based on the current trend, the month-on-month growth rate in June may also be negative.

At the beginning of this year, ChatGPT, like a bolt from the blue, allowed the world to witness the power of generative AI and made the underlying GPT (Generative Pre-trained Transformer model) a huge success, triggering a wave of large model startups. It refreshed many figures, and what was particularly impressive was its speed of user growth as the fastest-growing consumer-level application in history. In just two months after its launch, ChatGPT's monthly active users exceeded 100 million.

But even its creators can't give a clear answer about its future development. Helen Toner, a member of the OpenAI board of directors, previously stated, “Even the people who created them don't know what they can and can't do. I expect it will take several years before we really understand everything GPT-4 can and cannot do.”

ChatGPT's current ceiling doesn't necessarily represent the ceiling for GPT, but as a product supported by the current powerful large language model, the direction ChatGPT takes can also serve as a window to observe GPT applications. The fantasies about AI continue, and nearly half a year has passed. We are curious: what is the actual usage of ChatGPT? Is it overhyped?